Unit 6 · Topic 1

Simple Probability

Overview

Find how likely a single event is on a 0-to-1 scale.

Topic 1 of 2~22 min
Unit overview

The lesson

Read each section in order, work through every example on paper, then use the practice problems and quick check at the bottom.

The probability scale

Probability runs from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain). One-half means an event is just as likely to happen as not.

Calculating probability

For equally likely outcomes, probability = (number of favorable outcomes) ÷ (total number of outcomes).

Worked example

A bag has 3 red and 5 blue marbles. What is the probability of drawing red?

  1. 1Favorable outcomes (red) = 3.
  2. 2Total outcomes = 3 + 5 = 8.
  3. 3Probability = 3/8.

Why this matters

Find how likely a single event is on a 0-to-1 scale.

These ideas show up on homework, quizzes, and the next unit in this grade. Getting comfortable here saves time later when the problems stack more steps together.

Common mistakes to avoid

Rushing to the answer without writing steps. Clear work helps you catch mistakes and shows your reasoning.

Re-reading the question too quickly. Underline what you are solving for before you start calculating.

Key ideas from this lesson

  1. The probability scale
  2. Calculating probability

Video walkthroughs

Math Antics

Basic Probability

The probability line, outcomes, and trials explained.

Watch on YouTube
Khan Academy

Probability Explained

Introduce sample space, outcomes, and the probability line.

Watch on YouTube
Khan Academy

Finding Probability Example

Count favorable outcomes over total possible outcomes.

Watch on YouTube
Khan Academy

Addition Rule for Probability

Combine probabilities of overlapping events.

Watch on YouTube

Practice

For each problem: write your work in the box, type your answer, and check it. If you are stuck, reveal the solution one step at a time. Do not skip straight to the final answer.

Exercise 1

Try it yourself

A fair coin is flipped once. What is P(heads)?

Step-by-step solution

  1. 1One favorable outcome out of two equally likely: 1/2.

Exercise 2

Try it yourself

A bag has 4 green and 6 yellow marbles. Find P(green) if one marble is drawn at random.

Step-by-step solution

  1. 1Favorable = 4, total = 10.
  2. 2P(green) = 4/10 = 2/5.

Exercise 3

Try it yourself

A spinner has 5 equal sections numbered 1–5. Find P(even number).

Step-by-step solution

  1. 1Even outcomes: 2 and 4 → 2 favorable.
  2. 2P(even) = 2/5.

Exercise 4

Try it yourself

In 40 trials, a nail lands point-up 10 times. What is the experimental probability?

Step-by-step solution

  1. 1Experimental P = successes ÷ trials = 10/40 = 1/4.

Exercise 5

Try it yourself

Express 0.35 as a probability in simplest fractional form.

Step-by-step solution

  1. 10.35 = 35/100 = 7/20.

Quick check

Answer all questions. Retake the quiz until you feel confident before moving on.

Simple Probability

Question 1 of 4

Easy

A fair die is rolled. What is the probability of rolling a 4?

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